Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 104.955912 116.491962 128.392547 141.559419 155.691946 170.378660 186.767980
2024-10-20 83.257511 99.793322 117.784222 138.694867 162.211272 187.724143 217.376153
2024-10-27 67.538892 87.218381 109.740341 137.127574 169.229690 205.370868 248.829963
2024-11-03 58.382103 80.735009 107.508808 141.375273 182.489033 230.211863 289.194875
2024-11-10 50.493769 74.596189 104.739356 144.276635 193.809058 252.865960 327.602100
2024-11-17 44.433138 69.870503 102.984154 147.865143 205.675957 276.221112 367.308910
2024-11-24 39.796982 66.364649 102.256280 152.363448 218.510870 300.873152 409.066996
2024-12-01 32.705249 58.464658 94.798313 147.253848 218.416798 308.997348 430.215669
2024-12-08 27.683692 52.884642 89.897036 144.995468 221.590286 320.991895 456.174173
2024-12-15 24.404047 49.520666 87.766165 146.243835 229.254053 338.758286 489.695162
2024-12-22 21.829262 46.931345 86.477348 148.453197 238.113508 358.135953 525.554290
2024-12-29 20.352820 45.984882 87.545438 154.026500 251.709891 384.033471 570.385984
2025-01-05 18.435549 44.089259 87.057707 157.367993 262.445861 406.624890 611.769970
2025-01-12 15.855628 40.618290 83.726097 156.151992 266.517949 420.172126 641.336958
2025-01-19 13.714304 37.648333 80.930099 155.524788 271.314937 434.736788 672.499688
2025-01-26 12.762015 36.925010 81.881263 160.822636 285.008133 462.001100 721.481542
2025-02-02 11.648974 35.689813 81.803166 164.386582 296.122937 485.784424 766.025509
2025-02-09 10.735816 34.742227 82.129460 168.555222 308.188712 511.072136 812.977361
2025-02-16 10.021098 34.134517 83.009074 173.635686 321.743220 538.708006 863.600511
2025-02-23 8.179086 30.489962 77.822365 168.082054 318.437521 541.697404 879.481878
2025-03-02 6.911528 27.992281 74.582805 165.634435 319.831558 551.456495 904.970720
2025-03-09 6.151256 26.680827 73.579772 167.035003 327.359863 570.358723 943.738555
2025-03-16 5.558479 25.715856 73.192497 169.484553 336.602851 591.931064 986.605792